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information Bulletin > System Age and Chaos Theory
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One of the most important goals of this site is to provide a scientific vision from a systemic view of management of change issues, and how it reflects on the evolution of methodologies and tools from systems development perspective.  In the region in which we live, development efforts always stumble and collide with the community structure, which always stands resistant to change and development, whether out of fear of the unknown that holds change or to maintain the gains and benefits they attained.  Researchers have made many attempts to get to know the dynamics of these opposing forces, change force and the resisting force, and the way each party affect the other,  and how change rakes place (if initiated) and the state transfer with its behavior and its effects across the field of activities of each of them.  Historically,  the result of this confrontation, in most cases, was the continuation of the status cue, or what the resistance team call  the "steady state" where change is always linked to the fear of slipping into "instability." For decades people saw that this state of instability should not happen. This condition of instability always considered to be temporary and does not appear in the general view of the problem if discussed.  At this time and under these conditions analyst use analytical theories that rely on the separation of problem parts, and study each of them separate trying to discover how these parts contribute to the problem. This study if use analytical scientific method which is based on the study of the parts separated from each other and then assemble their effects at the end of the study (in a linear fashion), where they build a solution or design a new system that prevent the problem, or at least lead to minimize its effects.  This solution ends up simplifying the problem, and the system, or the solution, so it does not fit the original problem, but come out to address the simplified problem, thus the solution will really create new effects to the area of the system and leads to the appearance of new problems in the later stages. Hence, the problems we face today are raised from the solutions that we set years ago, and because of these problems took years to show they also require years to disappear (as Jay Forster founder of the system dynamics put it out). In this issue we look to  the dynamics of the system change and its relation to the situation of instability and we link chaotic theory to events in Tunisia and the ability to move to Egypt

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